February 24, 2007

Oscar Picks 2007

Filed under: movies, oscar — ted @ 1:53 pm

After last year’s catastrophe, I resolved not to follow the Oscar’s as closely as I did then, and I’ve kept my word: no Oscar blogs, no pouring over summaries to learn more about all the categories, no investing myself in the outcome. That being the case, I still did see enough of the nominated films to make some picks in the major categories — so here they are.

Best Motion Picture of the Year

The Departed
Letters from Iwo Jima
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen

After watching Iwo Jima last night, and having my fears about its quality confirmed, I’ve managed to see all five of candidates. Babel is by far my least favorite, and I’d be very upset if it wins. The Queen probably has the least chance.

Will Win:  Letters from Iwo Jima
Should Win: The Departed

Achievement in Directing

Clint Eastwood for Letters from Iwo Jima
Stephen Frears for The Queen
Alejandro González Iñárritu for Babel
Paul Greengrass for United 93
Martin Scorsese for The Departed

Please, please let this be the year that Scorsese gets his long-awaited and denied Best Director award. He should have won at least twice already. The Departed is not even close to his best work, but I think it’s finally time.

Will Win: Martin Scorsese
Should Win: Paul Greengrass

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

Leonardo DiCaprio for Blood Diamond
Ryan Gosling for Half Nelson
Peter O’Toole for Venus
Will Smith for The Pursuit of Happyness
Forest Whitaker for The Last King of Scotland

Somehow I managed not to see any of these films, despite wanting to see all five. Accordingly, my “Should Win” is meaningless — but that won’t stop me from picking DiCaprio, who I adore.

Will Win: Forest Whitaker
Should Win: Leonardo DiCaprio

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

Penélope Cruz for Volver
Judi Dench for Notes on a Scandal
Helen Mirren for The Queen
Meryl Streep for The Devil Wears Prada
Kate Winslet for Little Children

This one’s in the bag, which is too bad for Kate Winslet. Judi Dench and Meryl Streep just keep racking up nominations.

Will Win:
Helen Mirren
Should Win: Helen Mirren

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

Alan Arkin for Little Miss Sunshine
Jackie Earle Haley for Little Children
Djimon Hounsou for Blood Diamond
Eddie Murphy for Dreamgirls
Mark Wahlberg for The Departed

This race, as far as I can tell, is very close — neck and neck between Eddie Murphy and Alan Arkin. If only Mark Wahlberg had a slightly larger role; he was awesome.

Will Win:
Alan Arkin
Should Win: Mark Wahlberg

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

Adriana Barraza for Babel
Cate Blanchett for Notes on a Scandal
Abigail Breslin for Little Miss Sunshine
Jennifer Hudson for Dreamgirls
Rinko Kikuchi for Babel

Also in the bag — but how did Babel get two? Yuck.

Will Win: Jennifer Hudson
Should Win: Jennifer Hudson

Best Animated Feature Film of the Year

Happy Feet
Monster House


Will Win: Cars
Should Win: Cars

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year

After the Wedding – Denmark (Susanne Bier)
Days of Glory (Indigènes) – Algeria (Rachid Bouchareb)
The Lives of Others (Das Leben der Anderen) – Germany (Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck)
Pan’s Labyrinth – Mexico (Guillermo del Toro)
Water – Canada (Deepa Mehta)

I can’t wait to see The Lives of Others, which just opened here.

Will Win: The Lives of Others
Should Win: Pan’s Labyrinth

Adapted Screenplay

Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan
Children of Men
The Departed
Little Children
Notes on a Scandal

Watch Infernal Affairs (which is also awesome) and then tell me The Departed shouldn’t win this.

Will Win: The Departed
Should Win: The Departed

Original Screenplay

Letters from Iwo Jima
Little Miss Sunshine
Pan’s Labyrinth
The Queen

If I were picking, Babel and Iwo Jima would be in the “worst original screenplay” category. Stop Haggis!

Will Win: Little Miss Sunshine
Should Win: Little Miss Sunshine

Achievement in Cinematography

The Black Dahlia
Children of Men
The Illusionist
Pan’s Labyrinth
The Prestige

Quickly becoming my favorite category. Give to Emmanuel Lubezki!

Will Win: Children of Men
Should Win: Children of Men


1 Comment »

  1. So I was 8 of 11 — are result I’m happy with, although I’m kicking myself for voting against my gut on Iwo Jima for Best Picture.

    Congratulations to Martin Scorsese. How charming.

    Comment by Ted — February 26, 2007 @ 1:21 pm

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s

Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com.

%d bloggers like this: